🚨 US SHUTDOWN WILL END IN 4 DAYS... It will inject $2.5T in market and pump alts I analyzed leaked market data and reports... Here's 6 things you need to know about Trump's deal and when #crypto will pump 🧵👇
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The US government has already been paralyzed by a shutdown for 40 days But this week it’s finally coming to an end And that means billions in frozen funds will return to the market This is one of those events that change the entire market’s direction We are witnessing history in real time
Yes, the longest shutdown in history is finally ending The Senate has already approved a bill to reopen the government 60 senators - in favor 40 senators - against On PolyMarket, the probability of the shutdown ending by November 15 is 86%
The Treasury will unfreeze around $953 billion from the TGA balance And when the government starts spending again The economy comes alive through a surge of demand and debt Money flows through funds, bonds, ETFs, DeFi And eventually appears as liquidity in crypto
History shows markets rise after shutdowns Only three out of 22 times was the S&P 500 down for the year The average gain after a shutdown ends is +12% Makes sense Because it’s the moment fear fades and capital starts chasing profit
In 2018, during a 35-day shutdown, Bitcoin fell to $3K Then it sharply reversed The end of the government pause kicked off a new cycle That was the beginning of the strongest rally since 2017 Now conditions are even better
Today’s setup looks even bigger and more interesting Trump is preparing a program with $2,000 payments to the population And it’s not just social aid but a hidden stimulus The system is essentially entering a phase of soft QE For crypto this means a new wave of liquidity and appetite for risk
When the government reopens, the Fed will receive new macro data That will lay the groundwork for a rate cut already in December Then the market’s focus will return to debt dynamics And any hint of easing will again boost risk assets win-win
$BTC is the first to feel the return of money into the system DXY is dropping, gold is rising and the market is leaning toward risk again Correlation with stock indices is returning after a pause And it all points to one thing - the risk-on mode is coming back
So what does the end of the shutdown mean for crypto? - The return of billions in liquidity - Rate cuts and a weaker DXY - Recovery of macro data and ETF inflows - Institutions returning to risk assets - A new impulse for $BTC, $ETH and the DeFi market
What to do now? - Don’t rush, the market is still forming its reactio - Watch $BTC, $ETH and liquidity flows - Hold strong alts, avoid the noise - Get ready for the active risk-on phase
Every cycle has a moment when fear turns into belief The end of the shutdown is exactly that turning point for the market Don’t lose focus and miss the opportunity while others hesitate Liquidity is returning - and with it, a new phase begins
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