This is a must read ๐๐๐
the bulk of the work on avax econonomics basically gets down to being able to answer one 'simple' question:
how to make avax be in the top 10 spot it needs to be, at around 70B fdv?
70B fdv is a 9-10x from here, but it's not that hard if you look into the numbers, let me explain
in some cases, at least in engineering, you start from the solution, the result, and then find a way backward
so what happens at 70B fdv?
the 70B fdv is based on the total supply, not the max supply, bc that's how most chains are valued, so it would mean avax would be at 150$ roughly (coincidentally, its 2021 peak)
to have a billion dollars of revenue (c-chain fees + payg validator fees) at that price would mean 6.7M AVAX burned per year
I didn't invent the billion dollars revenue - I'm applying the standard P/E ratio for growth companies like Tesla, that's around 70x
in 2025 the total revenue (burned) itโs predicted to be 400k AVAX
thereโs two levers we can use to get to 6.7M AVAX (so a 17x from where we are):
- increase fees from C-Chain
- increase fees from L1s
and with this I donโt mean increasing gas fees, but find a way to incentivize all participants to spend more often or more in absolute terms
sometimes, formulating the problem correctly is 90% of the work
letโs hope this is the case
1.64K
4
The content on this page is provided by third parties. Unless otherwise stated, OKX is not the author of the cited article(s) and does not claim any copyright in the materials. The content is provided for informational purposes only and does not represent the views of OKX. It is not intended to be an endorsement of any kind and should not be considered investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell digital assets. To the extent generative AI is utilized to provide summaries or other information, such AI generated content may be inaccurate or inconsistent. Please read the linked article for more details and information. OKX is not responsible for content hosted on third party sites. Digital asset holdings, including stablecoins and NFTs, involve a high degree of risk and can fluctuate greatly. You should carefully consider whether trading or holding digital assets is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.


